Beschreibung The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragility" (Incerto, Band 2). The most influential book of the past seventy-five years: a groundbreaking exploration of everything we know about what we don’t know, now with a new section called “On Robustness and Fragility.”A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don’t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the “impossible.” For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb will change the way you look at the world, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, “On Robustness and Fragility,” which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a landmark book—itself a black swan.
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: The ~ The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a New Section: "on Robustness and Fragility" (Incerto, Band 2) / Taleb, Nassim Nicholas / ISBN: 8601404990557 / Kostenloser Versand fĂŒr alle BĂŒcher mit Versand und Verkauf duch .
The Black Swan, Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly ~ The Black Swan is a stand-alone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand.The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes.. A black swan is a highly improbable event with three .
The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly ~ The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragility" (Incerto, Band 2) / Taleb, Nassim Nicholas / ISBN: 9781400063512 / Kostenloser Versand fĂŒr alle BĂŒcher mit Versand und Verkauf duch .
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable ~ The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable is a 2007 book by author and former options trader Nassim Nicholas Taleb.The book focuses on the extreme impact of rare and unpredictable outlier eventsâand the human tendency to find simplistic explanations for these events, retrospectively. Taleb calls this the Black Swan theory.. The book covers subjects relating to knowledge, aesthetics .
The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly ~ The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a New Section: On Robustness and Fragility"" [ THE BLACK SWAN: SECOND EDITION: THE IMPACT OF THE HIGHLY IMPROBABLE: WITH A NEW SECTION: ON ROBUSTNESS AND FRAGILITY"" ] by Taleb, Nassim Nicholas (Author) May-11-2010 [ Paperback ] / Taleb, Nassim Nicholas / ISBN: 8580001047409 / Kostenloser Versand fĂŒr alle BĂŒcher mit .
:Kundenrezensionen: The Black Swan: Second ~ Finden Sie hilfreiche Kundenrezensionen und Rezensionsbewertungen fĂŒr The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragility" (Incerto, Band 2) auf . Lesen Sie ehrliche und unvoreingenommene Rezensionen von unseren Nutzern.
Der Schwarze Schwan (Nassim Nicholas Taleb) â Wikipedia ~ Der Schwarze Schwan: Die Macht höchst unwahrscheinlicher Ereignisse ist ein Buch des Publizisten und BörsenhĂ€ndlers Nassim Nicholas Taleb.Nach Taleb bezeichnet ein âSchwarzer Schwanâ ein Ereignis, das selten und höchst unwahrscheinlich ist. Der Autor beschĂ€ftigt sich mit den hĂ€ufig extremen Konsequenzen dieser seltenen und unwahrscheinlichen Ereignisse (AusreiĂer) sowie der .
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Incerto Series by Nassim Nicholas Taleb - Goodreads ~ Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets, The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable, The Bed of Procrustes: .
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