Beschreibung Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts. In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck?Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making?Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes.By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate and successful in the long run.
Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't ~ (Charles Duhigg, author of The Power of Habit and Smarter Faster Better) Thinking in Bets offers a compelling, and eminently useful, new way to think about life's decisions. Annie Duke has written an important, and often hilarious, book that will help you understand your own shortcomings--and make smarter choices as a result. You can bet on it. (Maria Konnikova, author of The Confidence Game and Mastermind)
Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't ~ Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts (writer Annie Duke) zdarma mobilnà telefon Mac için Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts (author Annie Duke) kitap Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts author Annie Duke read online pdf free
Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't ~ In poker you don't know your opponents cards and you don't know what they're thinking -- including what they're thinking about what they think you're thinking. In scientific research you only know what's been discovered so far. You're ignorant about the unknown and are trying to extrapolate from current knowledge. In business and finance you unsure of the future, only know some things about .
Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't ~ Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don’t Have All the Facts [ebook free] by Annie Duke (epub/mobi) ebook4expert. February 25 2018 . Business - Investing; Professional Science; In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots’ one-yard line, he called .
EBOOK DOWNLOAD Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions ~ "Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back.
Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't ~ Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts by Annie Duke. Thinking in Bets has 1,045 ratings and 156 reviews. Eric said: tl;dr Acknowledge the (omni)presence of uncertainty in every decision we make, and recogni. Actions. Roberto Mateu moved Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts by Annie Duke lower Roberto Mateu moved .
Thinking in Bets by Annie Duke: 9780735216372 ~ Annie Duke is an author, corporate speaker, and consultant in the decision-making space. Annie’s book, Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don’t Have All the Facts is a national bestseller. As a former professional poker player, Annie won… More about Annie Duke
Annie Duke - How To Decide - Speaker - Author - Decision ~ Seth Godin Author of The Icarus Deception. "Thinking in Bets offers a compelling, and eminently useful, new way to think about life’s decisions. Annie Duke has written an important, and often hilarious, book that will help you understand your own shortcomings – and make smarter choices as a result. You can bet on it."
Annie Duke Discusses Decision-Making in Poker and Life ~ Her latest book is "Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts." . The easiest way to listen to podcasts on your iPhone, iPad, Android, PC, smart speaker – and even in your car. For free. Bonus and ad-free content available with Stitcher Premium.
12 Reasons Why How You Make Decisions Is More Important ~ When you don't trust that the people around you are making smart decisions, it is natural to want to be involved so you can try to help prevent disaster or at least will see it coming and avoid a .
Thinking in Bets by Annie Duke / Audiobook / Audible ~ Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don’t Have All the Facts (2018) explores how probabilistic thinking can help individuals make better choices. World Series of Poker champion Annie Duke explains how the tactics professional poker players use can be applied to everyday situations.. (Disclaimer: This is NOT the original book. If you’re looking for the original book, it is available from and Audible.)
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Thinking in Bets : Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't ~ Thinking in Bets / Poker champion turned business consultant Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions as a result. In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off .
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